Occupational body injury risk assessment model within Russian regions among the Federal Fire Service personnel of the EMERCOM of Russia

Introduction. Occupational safety set-up pursues safety of the EMERCOM of Russia personnel, as well as compliance with legislative and other regulatory legal acts of Russia regarding occupational safety and advanced occupational injury prevention.

The aim is to develop a model allowing to predict occupational body injuries among the firefighters of the Federal Fire Service (FFS) of the EMERCOM of Russia, based on specific regional factors related to the performance of official duties.

Methods. We analyzed the reports on occupational injuries of the FFS of the EMERCOM of Russia for 2014–2023 by Russian regions. The injuries were matched with the injury groups under Chapter XIX ‘Injury, poisoning and certain other consequences of external causes’ according to the International Classification of Diseases and Behavioral Disorders (ICD-10). The risks of damage to body parts and areas among firefighters was calculated using the correction factors for unidentified (no diagnoses provided in the injury records) and poorly identified (general diagnoses provided only) injuries.

Results and analysis. The predicted occupational injury rates among the FFS personnel of the EMERCOM of Russia was calculated using a discriminant formula, that accounts for the number of occupational injuries or damages to body parts and areas, the number of firefighters, their average age, and professional experience. The results were registered in Rospatent № 2024611607 dated January 23, 2024 through a specialized computer program. A correction factor should be included into the present formula, as well as the regional peculiarities of Russian constituents: yi = yRi/R, where yi is the predicted injury number among the FFS personnel of the EMERCOM of Russia in the i-constituent, Ri is the risk of injury among the FFS personnel of the EMERCOM of Russia in the i-constituent, and R is the overall risk of injury among the FFS personnel of the EMERCOM of Russia.

Conclusion. The proposed method allows to predict the total number of occupational injuries among firefighters, including lesions of particular body areas, thereby estimate the resources and capacities required for treatment and rehabilitation in every region of Russia.

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